Question:medium

Lou observes that if flight 409 is cancelled, then the manager could not possibly arrive in time for the meeting. But the flight was not cancelled. Therefore, Lou concludes, the manager will certainly be on time. Evelyn replies that even if Lou's premises are true, his argument is fallacious. And therefore, she adds, the manager will not arrive on time after all.

Which of the following is the strongest thing that we can properly say about this discussion?

Show Hint

Separate the two claims in the passage: is Lou's argument actually invalid, and does that invalidity prove the opposite conclusion?
Updated On: Jul 14, 2026
  • Evelyn is mistaken in thinking Lou's argument to be fallacious, and so her own conclusion is unwarranted.
  • Evelyn is right about Lou's argument, but nevertheless her own conclusion is unwarranted.
  • Since Evelyn is right about Lou's argument, her own conclusion is well supported.
  • Since Evelyn is mistaken about Lou's argument, her own conclusion must be false.
Show Solution

The Correct Option is B

Solution and Explanation

Think of this as two separate claims stacked on top of each other, and test each one on its own.

  1. Claim 1, Lou's argument: Lou says cancelled flight leads to late manager, flight was not cancelled, so manager is on time. This pattern, denying the antecedent, is never logically safe, because a delay can happen for reasons that have nothing to do with flight 409 being cancelled. So Lou's argument is indeed fallacious, and Evelyn is right on this point.
  2. Claim 2, Evelyn's own conclusion: Evelyn jumps from "Lou's argument is bad" to "the manager will not be on time." But disproving one argument for a conclusion says nothing about whether the opposite conclusion is true. The manager could still arrive on time for reasons Lou never mentioned. Evelyn's claim needs its own support, which she never gives, so it is unwarranted.

Since Claim 1 is correct but Claim 2 is not supported, the option that captures both is the one saying Evelyn is right about the fallacy while her own conclusion stays unwarranted.

Let's summarize:

  • Pointing out a flawed argument does not prove its conclusion false or its opposite true.
  • Evelyn's diagnosis of Lou is correct, but her own guess about lateness is a fresh, unsupported claim.

Final answer: $\boxed{\text{Option B}}$

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